Racehorse Runner

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ABOUT THE SHEET  

The horses are listed from top to bottom in the predicted running order.  Races are scored for the scheduled racing surface.  Factors used in scoring  races are speed, class, conditions, day intervals between starts, weight carried, distance/surface record, jockey/trainer record, purses/claiming prices, ascending/descending beyers, change of rider,  changes in equipment/medication, and workout times/rankings.  But, by design, I keep it simple and readable.  At a quick glance, you can analyze a race with respect to the class of the field, and the abundance or lack of early speed. 

Race Heading:

- track
- race
- time of day
- age restriction
- sex restriction
- race distance
- race surface (dirt track if blank, T: turf, O: off turf if known in advance)
- race type or class
- purse in thousands
- predicted finish if turf race transferred to main track, or if race is run on wet surface

Horse detail:   

- program number
- horse name (profile picks displayed in bold print)
- change in equipment, medication/age/sex/state-bred/sire-rank*  (CASBrdSire) 
- jockey
- weight
- trainer
- lifetime races **
- estimated fractions at the quarter and half mile.  For first time starters, workouts less than 4 furlongs are used to estimate 1/4 mile, workouts of 4 furlongs and longer are used to estimate 1/2 mile.  European horses with no American races have no fractional times. 
- close ***
- estimated final time or final score (Fin) - no score if entered for 'main track only'
- predicted running order first call (Spd) - the 1/4 column sorted
- average purse value in thousands, adjusted for state bred or restricted races ($$)
- predicted running order finish (Fin) - the 1st Fin column sorted
- morning line odds (M/L)

* C - equipment or mediation change (b: blinkers on, -b: blinkers off, L: first time lasix), A - age, S - sex, Brd - state bred, Sire - cumulative rankings of the sire and sire's sire (top), and dam's sire (bottom), in the category that applies to today's race. This ranking is based on earnings of the top 500 sires of North American thoroughbreds in each of these five categories - turf, sprint, mile, route, and all-weather (for main tracks with synthetic surfaces).  The rankings are in the category corresponding to today's scheduled surface and distance.  The lower the number, the higher the ranking.  To get a excellent ranking in this column, a horse must be be well bred, top and bottom. Horses by sires not ranked in the top 500 will have no number in this column.   If a horse is entered for the 'main track only' in a turf race, the sire ranking for main track will be displayed. I find these sire rankings helpful in handicapping maiden and turf races.  First time starters can often be handicapped based solely on this statistic.   

** This number can be useful when considering maiden and condition races.  For example, a horse with 42 lifetime starts is usually not a good bet if he hasn't broken his maiden yet.  I favor lightly raced horses in Mdn, MSW, N2L, N3L, and N4L (maiden claiming, maiden special weight, and non-winners of X lifetime races).  The better horses usually clear their conditions early in their career.

*** the estimated difference in beaten lengths from the half mile to the finish.   A positive value in this column is an indication of a horse's tendency to pass tired horses in the stretch, and gain lengths on the leaders.  I use this column to determine how many front-runners vs closers are in the race.  A race with all positive numbers in this column has no true front-runners.  Conversely, a race with all negative numbers in this column has no true closers.  This is where we find lone speed and lone closers, although most races have no significant bias one way or another.